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03/07/2010 - Belgrade, Serbia (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Novak Djokovic outlasted big John Isner in five sets on Sunday to lift Serbia past the United States and into the 2010 Davis Cup quarterfinals.
The Serbs have an insurmountable 3-1 lead in the best-of-five showdown at Belgrade Arena.
The world No. 2 Djokovic got everything he could handle from the 6-foot-9 Isner in the first reverse singles rubber, as the former Australian Open champion barely snuck out a 7-5, 3-6, 6-3, 6-7 (6-9), 6-4 decision on the Americans' least-favorite surface, red clay.
Djokovic prevailed in 4 hours, 16 minutes against Isner, who made his Davis Cup debut with a singles loss against Viktor Troicki here on Friday.
A dead rubber will closeout this week's festivities on Day 3.
The Serbs will battle Croatia in the quarters in July.
On Saturday here, an American doubles team of Isner and Bob Bryan got the United States on the scoreboard (1-2) with a clutch four-set doubles victory over a Serbian tandem of Janko Tipsarevic and Nenad Zimonjic. Bryan played without his twin brother Mike on Day 2, as the towering Isner was a late substitute after Mike fell ill due to some food poisoning.
The triumphant Serbs are captained by Bogdan Obradovic, while Team USA is led by Patrick McEnroe, who guided the U.S. to a record 32nd Davis Cup title in 2007.
The Americans have now been relegated to World Group playoffs, as they'll have to qualify for the 2011 World Group.
The U.S. played without its top gun this week, Wimbledon runner-up Andy Roddick, who decided against playing in the prestigious international team event this year.
This marks the first-ever Davis Cup meeting between Serbia and the U.S.
<< Nurnberg hands Leverkusen first loss
Nurnberg, Germany (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting scored twice in
the closing minutes of the first half, Mikael Tavares added a goal 10 minutes
after the break, and Nurnberg held on to hand Bayer Leverkusen its first loss
of the
<< Jaguars sign Kampman
Jacksonville, FL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Jacksonville Jaguars have
signed defensive end Aaron Kampman, the team announced Sunday. Terms and
length of the deal were not disclosed.
Kampman had spent all eight of his NFL seaso
<< Czechs settle for 4-1 Davis Cup victory over Belgians
Bree, Belgium (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Czech Republic wound up with a 4-1
victory over host Belgium in a first-round Davis Cup tie in Bree.
In a pair of dead rubbers on Sunday, Steve Darcis got Belgium on the
scoreboard with a
<< Everton cruises past Hull City
Liverpool, England (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Mikel Arteta scored his first two goals
of the season, Landon Donovan added a goal and an assist, and Everton defeated
Hull City 5-1 on Sunday at Goodison Park.
Arteta, limited to six EPL matches due to
Royals' Gordon to miss 3-4 weeks >>
Surprise, AZ (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Kansas City Royals announced Sunday that
third baseman Alex Gordon is expected to be sidelined for three to four weeks
with a broken right thumb, leaving his status for Opening Day unclear.
Gordon was
Young scores 32 as Sixers down Raptors >>
Toronto, ON (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Thaddeus Young scored a career-high 32 points
and Jrue Holiday had 21 points, seven rebounds and six assists, as the
Philadelphia 76ers snapped a five-game losing streak with a 114-101 win over
the Tor
Dodgers C Martin out 4-6 weeks >>
Phoenix, AZ (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Los Angeles Dodgers catcher Russell Martin
will miss four to six weeks of action due to a pulled groin muscle.
The injury will sideline Martin for the remainder of Spring Training and
Opening Day.
Kentucky fends off Gators to wrap up perfect season at home >>
Lexington, KY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Darius Miller and Eric Bledsoe each scored
14 points, as third-ranked Kentucky held off Florida, 74-66, to complete a
perfect season at Rupp Arena.
Patrick Patterson added 13 points and John Wall ended
Recently I had an email debate with an angry reader who said I did not understand "the science of oddsmaking", as he called it.
He said I was wrong for suggesting oddsmakers care about who wins or loses games.
"Oddsmakers only care about splitting the betting public 50/50 on both sides of the line and keeping the commission (a.k.a. juice)," he wrote.
He might have been right about not understanding "the science of oddsmaking". After all, I'm not an oddsmaker. That said, I stick to my assertion that oddsmakers (a.k.a. sportbooks) often do care about who wins games.
Granted, as a general rule, sportsbooks try to balance their action so that they're not exposed to big losses. However, there are times when this is difficult to pull off, regardless of how much a line has moved. There are also times when that general rule is ignored and a book pursues risk.
Generally speaking, it's safe to say the books in Vegas are risk-adverse. Unlike in the past when the wise guys ruled the town, Vegas is now corporate and the goal of most casinos is to make as much money as possible with as little risk as possible.
Thus, Vegas sportsbooks try everything in their power to balance the action. They're satisfied simply collecting the juice. But these profits are small, especially compared to the take from other casino games, namely slot machines.
Because the profits at Vegas sportsbooks are so small, you could argue that many casinos operate sportsbooks simply as a novelty to keep the tourists happy.
With a growing aversion to risk, it should come as no surprise that Vegas bookmakers have been panicking this NFL season.
Despite huge pointspreads, a disproportionate percentage of bettors are still laying their money on favorites like the Eagles, Colts, Pats and Vikings rather than the dogs (a common trend for the largely recreational bettors that visit Vegas).
And much to the dismay of the books, those favorites are finding ways to cover the thick chalk. In fact, prior to Week 7, the four teams listed above are a combined 16-2-2 (88 percent) against the spread. (The tables turned dramatically in Week 7, but more on that later.)
The result has been an early-season beating for the books, and a bonanza for bettors.
While Vegas increasingly hates risk, it's no longer a major player in the sports betting world. Most of the betting action now takes place offshore where sportsbooks are not as obsessed about balance. In fact, some books encourage exposure to risk because the rewards can be so much bigger.
Consider MySportsbook.com. On its website, the book has odds pages which actually display the amount of action it's getting on games. In other words, you can see how much action the book is taking on both sides of a pointspread, moneyline or over/under.
One look at these numbers and it's obvious MySportsbook.com does not balance every game. In fact, far from it.
Take last weekend's matchup between St. Louis and Miami. By game time on Sunday, 83 percent of the betting action at MySportsbook.com was on the Rams; only 17 percent was on Miami.
What's interesting is that MySportsbook.com opened the pointspread with Miami at +6 1/2. By game time, the spread had lowered to +5.
That goes contrary to the balancing theory. If MySportsbook.com had wanted to balance the action, it would have given Miami more points; instead, it took away 1 1/2. World Series odds are now up as well.
MySportsbook.com exposed itself to even more to risk, and rolled the dice on the underdog Dolphins. Why? I contacted a representative with the book to find out. His answer was simple.
"The line moved early based on 'smart money' from sharp players," said Jeff Gilroy, a spokesperson for the book. "We also knew from early in the week that we would need Miami, therefore (we dropped) the spread to encourage Rams money.
"At the end of the day, we liked the home team."
So the conclusion is this: MySportsbook.com respected the sharp action, and gambled that the sharp bettors had a better take on the game than the recreational bettors, who were hammering the visiting Rams.
In the end, the gamble paid off. Miami, desperate for a win in front of its home fans, pounded the overrated Rams, who are terrible on the road and even worse on grass. Final score: 31-14 Fish.
MySportsbook.com was also heavily exposed on numerous favorites in Week 7, including Philadelphia, Seattle and Denver. All three failed to cover.
The fact that sportsbooks are exposed to risk on certain games is really nothing new. The fact, that Sportsbook.com is willing to show the public where it's exposed is intriguing.
Armed with this type of information, bettors can make more educated wagers. They can get an idea where the sharp money is going and conversely where the public money is headed.
MySportsbook.com is opening up its cashbox, letting bettors look inside and challenging them to take their best shot at grabbing the cash.
To visit this online sportsbook got to MySportsbook.com for all your football betting odds needs. Mysportsbook.com online sportsbook accepts Visa and Mastercard credit cards.
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